1、INSIGHTS PAPERSThe Evolution of Russian and Chinese Air PowerThreatsJustin Bronk8 January 2026Long ReadRussian and,particularly,Chinese capabilities now posegreater threats to Western air power than in 2020.Introduction Baseline 2020In 2020,RUSI published papers on the potential threats posed to Wes
2、ternforces by Russian and Chinese combat air capabilities and ground-based airdefence(GBAD)systems.Since these studies were published,both Russianand Chinese air power capabilities have evolved significantly.The aim of this Insights Paper is not to present a comprehensive analysis ofthe various type
3、s,weapons systems and tactics operated by the RussianAerospace Forces(VKS)and Peoples Liberation Army Air Force(PLAAF).Instead,it provides a succinct outline of the ways in which the threat posedto Western air power capabilities by Russian and Chinese forces respectivelyhas changed over the five yea
4、rs since 2020.As a starting point,readers areinvited to read the two RUSI papers from 2020,mentioned in the paragraphabove,for an overview of the primary aircraft types and GBAD systemsoperated by each nation.This Insights Paper demonstrates that in 2025,Chinese air power inparticular poses a fundam
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