从叙利亚到索马里兰:土以竞争重塑地区格局【RUSI】

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1、COMMENTARYFrom Syria to Somaliland:Turkey-IsraelCompetition Reshapes RegionDr Burcu Ozcelik6 January 202611 Minute ReadAs Turkish and Israeli planners increasingly frame their rivalryas an interconnected,multi-theatre contest,the margin formiscalculation is narrowing.Somaliland declared independence

2、 from Somalia in 1991 but functioned as aself-governing republic until December 2025 when Israel became the firststate to extend formal recognition.The decision has generated controversynot least because of the legal precedent it sets under international law and itspotential to exacerbate geopolitic

3、al competition in an already fragile andneglected policy space.More specifically,it risks accelerating competitionbetween Israel and Turkey as their interests continue to diverge across theHorn of Africa,the Red Sea and the wider Middle East.Somaliland sits at a critical geostrategic crossroads oppo

4、site Yemen,overlooking the junction of the Gulf of Aden,the Bab el-Mandeb Strait andthe Red Sea,an area that has become increasingly vulnerable as YemensHouthi movement has targeted international shipping lanes following the 7October Hamas attacks on Israel and the ensuing war in Gaza.The crucialmar

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