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本文([20190619]IF11081_2019年缅甸的和平前景.pdf)为本站会员(任我行)主动上传,联参智库仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对上载内容本身不做任何修改或编辑。 若此文所含内容侵犯了您的版权或隐私,请立即通知联参智库(发送邮件至xuewenjia2014@163.com或直接QQ联系客服),我们立即给予删除!

[20190619]IF11081_2019年缅甸的和平前景.pdf

1、 https:/crsreports.congress.gov Updated June 19, 2019Burmas Prospects for Peace in 2019The announcement on December 21, 2018, by Burmas Commander-in-Chief, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, of a unilateral ceasefire in eastern (but not western) Burma has raised many questions about prospects for endin

2、g the nations long-standing civil war. Some observers viewed the announcement as a possible breakthrough for the stalled “peace process” backed by Min Aung Hlaing and State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi. Others saw it as a ruse designed to promote discord among Burmas various ethnic armed organizations

3、 (EAOs), continue the militarys campaign in western Burma, and possibly set the stage for Min Aung Hlaings political ambitions to be selected as Burmas next President in 2020. Min Aung Hlaings decision on April 30, 2019, to extend the ceasefire for an additional two months has done little to resolve

4、 the outstanding issues that are preventing an end to Burmas decades-old civil war. Some of the EAOs that previously were involved in the “peace process” have suspended their participation; other EAOs are preparing for an escalation in fighting once the ceasefire is over. Both the Obama and Trump Ad