1、2025/7/15 19:24Turkey Navigates an Escalating IsraelIran Rivalry|Royal United Services Institutehttps:/www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/turkey-navigates-escalating-israel-iran-rivalry1/7COMMENTARYTurkey Navigates an Escalating IsraelIran RivalryDr Burcu Ozcelik10 July 20258
2、Minute ReadViewing TurkeyIsrael dynamics through a zero-sum lens risksfuelling strategic miscalculations and regional instability.The post7 October realignment in the Middle East has recalibrated threatperceptions and strategic opportunities for both Turkey and Israel.Therecent 12-Day War has furthe
3、r accelerated this shi?.While both Turkey andIsrael seek to maximise in?uence in this?uid landscape,key indicatorssuggest that viewing TurkeyIsrael dynamics through a zero-sum lens risksfuelling strategic miscalculations and regional instability.This couldintensify competition across overlapping sph
4、eres of in?uence from Syriaand Iraq to the Eastern Mediterranean and the South Caucasus.The characterisation of Turkey as the principal bene?ciary of the recentIran-Israel con?ict emerging unscathed while its two regional rivalsengaged in direct confrontation oversimpli?es the pressures facingAnkara
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